Macro Events & News 25/09
FX News Today
Macro Events 25/09 – FX Action: USDJPY posted a two-month high of 112.98 during the Tokyo morning session, which was the product of a bout of general Yen selling capped out in the face of Japanese exporter offers.
The release of the minutes of the recent BoJ meeting had little impact, nor did a speech by BoJ Governor Kuroda, who said it will take longer than expected to bring inflation to the central bank’s 2% target.
China said talks with the US cannot take place under threats and pressure, while the US approved of a $330 mln arms sale to Taiwan, which is sure to ruffle feathers in Beijing.
Macro Events 25/09 – Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields climbed 0.8 bp to 2.096%, and JGB yields picked up 0.4 bp to 0.123%, after returning from holiday.
There were no real surprises in the BoJ minutes from the July meeting and the JGB curve continues to steepen.
Australia’s 10-year bond jumped 5.1 bp amid stop selling after the 10-year future broke contract lows and following a pick up in Treasury yields yesterday. Chinese 10-year rates meanwhile declined.
Stock markets also traded mixed, as Japan and China returned from holiday. Trade concerns remained high on the agenda as China warned that it won’t agree to trade talks unless the US stops threatening additional tariffs.
US political developments also clouded over confidence. Topix and Nikkei are up 0.56% and 0.15% respectively and CSI lost -1.08%, while US futures are marginally lower. Oil prices rose further above the USD 72 per barrel mark.
Charts of the Day
Main Macro Events Today
- US Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Expectations – The level of consumer confidence is usually a leading indicator of consumer spending. Expectations are that the Confidence Index will be less than last month’s but will remain high nonetheless.
- S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index – Expectations – Housing prices are an important indicator given that rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity. Expectations are that the Index will grow by 6.2% y/y compared to 6.3% last month
Support and Resistance Levels
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